In this revelatory book, Taleb explains everything we know about what we don’t know, and shows us how to face the world. And why do we always ignore the phenomenon of Black Swans until after they occur? As Nassim Nicholas Taleb reveals, we are hard-wired not to truly estimate risk, too vulnerable to the impulse to simplify, narrate, and categorize and not open enough to rewarding those who can imagine the ‘impossible’. The astonishing success of Google was a black swan so was 9/11. the Highly Improbable Community Note includes chapter-by-chapter summary and. A Black Swan is a highly improbable event with three principle characteristics: it is unpredictable it carries a massive impact and, after the fact, we concoct an explanation that makes it appear less random and more predictable than it was. Quotes from The Black Swan: The Impact of the Highly Improbable Web Nassim. Black Swans underlie almost everything, from the rise of religions, to events in our own personal lives. (IMPRINT)Įlegant, startling, and universal in its applications, The Black Swan is a concept that will change the way you look at the world. Site designed and developed by Code-Corner.008 - FIXED-LENGTH DATA ELEMENTS-GENERAL INFORMATIONĠ20 # - INTERNATIONAL STANDARD BOOK NUMBERĠ82 # - DEWEY DECIMAL CLASSIFICATION NUMBERīlack swan : the impact of the highly improbableĢ60 # - PUBLICATION, DISTRIBUTION, ETC. All such content is provided to you "as is." This content and your use of it are subject to change and/or removal at any time. This philosophical book was published during 2007 by Random House. The book explores the role of unpredictable events in human history. The Black Swan: The Impact of the Highly Improbable was written by Nicholas Nassim Taleb. Please keep in mind that some of the content that we make available to you through this application comes from Amazon Web Services. The Black Swan: The Impact of the Highly Improbable (2007) was written by Nassim Nicholas Taleb, a Lebanese-American essayist and former options trader. A rallying cry to ignore the 'experts', "The Black Swan" shows us how to stop trying to predict everything - and take advantage of uncertainty.Īverage customer rating on Amazon: To read reviews go to Amazon.
Their impact is huge they're impossible to predict yet after they happen we always try to rationalize them. What have the invention of the wheel, Pompeii, the Wall Street Crash, Harry Potter and the internet got in common? Why are all forecasters con-artists? What can Catherine the Great's lovers tell us about probability? And, why should you never run for a train or read a newspaper? This book is all about Black Swans: the random events that underlie our lives, from bestsellers to world disasters. SUMMARY THE BLACK SWAN The Impact of the Highly Improbable by Nassim Nicholas Taleb G Shortcut Edition SUMMARY - The Black Swan: The Impact Of The Highly. The Black Swan: The Impact of the Highly Improbable
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